THE INSIDE STORY ON THE SOMALI CONFLICT By Michael van Notten, ISIL Advisory Board Member and Correspondent, Somalia BACKGROUND In June 1991, the General Assembly of the United Somali Congress (USC) elected its chairman from between two candidates: Aideed and a side-kick of Ali Mahdi. Aideed received 2/3 of the vote, yet Ali Mahdi refused to step down as the self-appointed USC President of the Republic of Somalia. Four months earlier, Aideed had warned Ali Mahdi that the Somali people would never accept his presidency if he appointed himself to the office. Now he warned Ali Mahdi that he had also been rejected by his political party. He added, that he, Aideed, would never use force to depose Ali Mahdi. In October 1991, Ali Mahdi had finally formed a government numbering 80 ministers, each one more incompetent than the other. Immediately the Italian government promised massive financial support. That is where Aideeds patience ran out. He declared that his faction of the USC was the only legitimate government of the area. Ali Mahdi reacted by declaring war on Aideed. Ali Mahdis attack caused only material damage. Aideeds counter-attack defeated Ali Mahdi quickly. All the territory left to him was the tiny part of Mogadishu inhabited by his own tribesmen. Aideed could easily have captured that part as well, but why bother? The war had served its purpose. Ali Mahdis clan had vacated the government center, his ministers had all fled and his troops had lost their supply lines. Rather than destroying the remnants of his cousins army (Ali Mahdi is related to Aideed), Aideed used the following six months to expell from Southern Somalia the army of Somalias former dictator, Syad Barre. This army had proved to be a big nuisance, robbing friend and foe alike and causing wide-spread famine. Defining The Somali Problem Outsiders believe that the problem is about who should rule. In reality it is about how Somalia should be ruled. Ali Mahdi seeks an Italian type of democracy, Aideed a return to traditional, tribal government; to kritarchy. Democracy hinges on the rule of law, kritarchy on the rule of human rights. Democracy works by majority rule; kritarchy by consensus. Aideeds point of view is presently prevailing. The facts speak for themselves. On March 30th, 1993 the four tribes in Somalias North West established an independent tribal republic based on their traditional constitution, the Xeer (pronounced hair). Following, June 4th, the Majerteen and Hawiye clans of the North East and Center also concluded peace and agreed to return to the Xeer. The following August 9th, nine Somali clans in Eastern Ethiopia sent home the democratic autonomous government given to them by the Ethiopians. The new office holders, inclined towards kritarchy, promised subordination to the tribal leaders. In dozens of villages suffering from constant violent conflict, peace returned, peace based on the Xeer. Meanwhile Aideed was elected as a traditional leader of his own Hawiye/Habar Ghirir/Saad clan. The United Nations A few months after the conflict between Aideed and Ali Mahdi had been settled, the UN opened an office in Mogadishu and offered to mediate. Pretty soon, UN Res. Rep. Mohamed Sahnoun realized that the UN had come too late for this. Therefore he concentrated on reducing the famine in the South and helping local governments to combat the bandits. The UN Secretary General, however, was seeking a more spectacular role for his organization. He fired Sahnoun just when the local governments were gradually getting things under control. Sahnouns successors declared that Somalia was an anarchy. They asserted that Aideed was no longer head of a legitimate government but was a bandit. The Somali problem was defined as an excess of arms. Their solution was full disarmament. They said that the UN was the only organization that could implement this policy. Thus, the stage was set for a UN trusteeship over Somalia, including military occupation. Those observers who pointed to the many places where peace reigned despite the presence of numerous arms, both light and heavy, were ignored, just as their view that the famine in Baidoa didnt call for the occupation of all of Somalia. THE RESULT Over the past ten months, the UN has been spending over three million US dollars per day in Somalia. It bought: chaos, destruction and thousands of Somalis killed or wounded by UN guns and UN bombs. All economic development and nearly all humanitarian activity has stopped. Despite this failure, the UN is digging in, dragging along the USA, whose special troops have been instructed to stay until the return of . . . law and order. Meant are: martial law and martial order, imposed by . . . foreigners. The Somalis want customary law and tribal order. That is why the conflict is getting bigger every day. The Somalis have now declared war on the UN. The six largest tribes have pledged 10,000 troops each to expell the American troops. Already in June, UNOSom troops in Bosaso were told to leave the North East. On September 10, 1993 UNO-Som officials were expelled from the North West which seceded from Somalia in March 1993 because of UNO-Soms imperialist policies. THE UN FAILURE Many mistakes were made . . . ** The UN lied to the Somalis. It asked Aideeds permission to fight those bandits who were impeding the relief operations. Upon arrival, the UN started to rule Somalia. ** The UN pontificated that Somalia was without government. In reality it has many governments, some aristocratic, some democratic and some tribal, with a general trend towards tribal. ** The UN ignores the fact that tribal government is more effective and efficient and also more just than the national government the UN is trying to impose upon the Somalis. Indeed, the Somalis perceive UNO-Som (and most other foreigners) as savages. ** The UN let itself be guided by its perceived might, rather than what is right. ** The UN ignored the fact that most Somalis forget their mutual differences when the survival of their nation is at stake. Indeed, all UN efforts to play off one clan against another proved to be counter-productive. ** The UN thought that the Somali soldiers are being commanded by Aideed. In actual fact, Somali soldiers dont take orders; they dont get paid either. Every soldier is his own general, defending his freedom and tribal culture as he sees fit. ** The UN reopened a conflict that had been closed. It sided with the loser, Ali Mahdi, an ignorant urban man without roots in rural Somalia, where 90% of the nation lives. ** The UN played up the importance of democratic parties when Somalia was rapidly becoming tribal again. In tribal society, politics is decided by the odayasha, the elected judges. ** The UN didnt understand that when the Somalis say democracy they mean tribal government based on the Xeer, which stipulates government by judges. Traditional Somali society centers on timeless, unchangeable and universal human rights rather than on ever-changing government laws. ** The UN constantly referred to Somalias inability to govern itself, ignoring the fact that foreign governments kept Somalias dictator Syad Barre in power long after his rejection by the Somali population and that foreign governments prevented Somalias liberator, Aideed, from forming the first post-dictatorial government. ** The UN listens primarily to Somalis who belong to either the democratic dreamers of the 1960s or the corrupt followers of Somalias dictator Syad Barre during the 1970s and 80s. ** The UN seems to ignore that every Somali is always ready to defend his human right to keep and bear arms. Upon its arrival in Mogadishu, the UN stopped the local police militias from protecting the foreign humanitarian organizations, claiming that it could do so more efficiently. In this way, the UN made thousands of Somalis jobless until . . . they started robbing the foreigners. The UN judges killings wrongly. When it kills hundreds of Somali citizens it regrets that it had to be done. When a handful of UN soldiers are killed, it cries murder. In reality, in times of war, killing soldiers is no crime. Killing civilians, on the contrary is plain murder. WHAT NEXT? All foreign government agencies should leave Somalia without delay because gradualism would be a new source of conflicts. Foreign governments need not maintain even embassies, only consulates. Humanitarian assistance and economic development is best left to non-governmental organizations. In fact, the longer UNO-Som clings to Somalia, the more difficult it will be, after its departure, to put that country together again. US Defense Minister Les Aspin predicts that Somalia will revert to famine and political chaos upon US withdrawal. Such events are not likely to return, however, especially not when the indigenous police forces are strengthened, particularly those belonging to the tribal alliance SNA. UNO-Som is least qualified to undertake this job, given its history of meddling in tribal politics and the fact that its hands are dripping with Somali blood. Best qualified for this job would be private security agencies, such as the British SECURICOR. The Somali chaos is of two kinds. First the chaos of 1991-92, when Ali Mahdi, helped by a foreign government, tried to impose democracy. This chaos was prolonged when former dictator Syad Barre, helped by another foreign government, occupied the South and marched on Mogadishu. All tribes now agree that such chaos can be avoided by having tribal, instead of central government. And their agreement has been followed by action. Therefore, there will be no return to chaos upon UNO-Som withdrawal. Second, there is the political chaos created by UNO-Som. In hundreds of villages visited by UNO-Som officials, UNO-Som strawmen are presently engaged in merciless fights with tribal leaders over the question of who will receive the money UNO-Soms democratic government will eventually dish out. This chaos must disappear. It will disappear only after UNO-Som will have withdrawn. UNO-Som will never understand tribal government. This type of government prevailed in rural Somalia while the intellectuals were experimenting with democracy and tyranny in Mogadishu. Tribal government, if left alone, can deal with any conflict. It does not spell the end of Somalia. On the contrary, the Somalis became a nation, with one language, one poetry, one music, one culture, one territory and one religion, precisely because it had tribal government. The Somalis do not need a common President or a common executive in order to stick together. Since time immemorial, they have had a common Bill of Rights and Procedures (the Xeer) . . . and the common will to enforce them. CONCLUSION Somalias main problem is neither banditism nor anarchy. It is that foreigners are sabotaging the creation of indigenous governments. The UN is now the main obstacle to a return of law and order. In addition, it has Somali blood on its hands. Therefore it should leave immediately. It can do so without regrets, because its mission has not been totally negative. The UN has united all Somalis; not only against itself, but also in favor of customary law and tribal order, eventually leading to a federation of their regional governments. Borama, Somaliland September 27, 1993 Michael van Notten ISIL Correspondent/Somalia NOTE: Michael van Notten will be a speaker at ISILs World Conference Merida, Mexico. October 2-7, 1994 ------------------------------